Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-winged Dove In Shortgrass Prairie
White-winged Dove in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1999.
25×Since 1999
42Routes In Region
26Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-winged Dove has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 25× on the route-weighted index since 1999.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 0.66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.87 (95% range 0.51–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.51–1.295% range
±39.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.76 | 0.39 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.42 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.81 | 0.45 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.84 | 0.48 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.87 | 0.51 | 1.2 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Pecos | TEXAS | 29 | 2017 |
| Mentone | TEXAS | 23 | 2015 |
| Panhandle | TEXAS | 22 | 2021 |
| Cactus | TEXAS | 19 | 2024 |
| Twichell | TEXAS | 12 | 2023 |
| Post | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Lamesa | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Circle | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Floydada | TEXAS | 4 | 2006 |
| Limon | COLORADO | 3 | 2021 |
| Logan | NEW-MEXICO | 3 | 2022 |
| Friona | TEXAS | 3 | 2021 |
| Prospect Valley 2 | COLORADO | 2 | 2011 |
| Lakin | KANSAS | 2 | 2018 |
| Cooley Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Floyd | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Rosebud | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2003 |
| Plains | TEXAS | 2 | 2015 |
| Tenmile | TEXAS | 2 | 2012 |
| Midland | TEXAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Dougherty | TEXAS | 2 | 2014 |
| Boyero | COLORADO | 1 | 2014 |
| Cone Mtn | COLORADO | 1 | 2006 |
| Ninaview | COLORADO | 1 | 2018 |
| Sheridan Lak | COLORADO | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.