BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-winged Dove In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

-81%Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
27YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has collapsed in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

White-winged Dove In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±56.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.040.000.34
20260.040.000.33
20270.030.000.33
20280.030.000.32
20290.020.000.32

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
La CienegaNEW-MEXICO222022
Rose WellsARIZONA51969
VallecitosNEW-MEXICO22010
PasturaNEW-MEXICO22019
YampaiARIZONA11969
HuntARIZONA12006
Peach SpringARIZONA12023
Fox CreekCOLORADO12024
CebollaNEW-MEXICO12012
Ojo SarcoNEW-MEXICO12015
TorreonNEW-MEXICO12022
PecosNEW-MEXICO12013
ValenciaNEW-MEXICO11996
Horse SpgsNEW-MEXICO12023
Horse MtnNEW-MEXICO12018
GallinasNEW-MEXICO12013
MountainairNEW-MEXICO12015
NewcombNEW-MEXICO12021
Bluewater LakeNEW-MEXICO12017
Claunch 2NEW-MEXICO12014
DulceNEW-MEXICO12006
Angel Fire 2NEW-MEXICO12016
AnethUTAH12024
ShivwitzUTAH11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.