Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-winged Crossbill In Boreal Hardwood Transition
White-winged Crossbill in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+158%Since 1978
39Routes In Region
36Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-winged Crossbill has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Crossbill in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 109% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.54). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±243.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+109%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5495% range
±243.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2028 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2029 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Gibbs City | MICHIGAN | 35 | 1987 |
| Lude | MINNESOTA | 20 | 2006 |
| Union Twp | WISCONSIN | 10 | 2008 |
| Red Lake | MINNESOTA | 8 | 2000 |
| Brocky Lake | MICHIGAN | 7 | 2015 |
| Grand View | WISCONSIN | 7 | 1987 |
| Bootjack | MICHIGAN | 6 | 2007 |
| Bergland | MICHIGAN | 5 | 2016 |
| Washington I | WISCONSIN | 4 | 1996 |
| Little Fork | MINNESOTA | 3 | 1996 |
| Imp Lake | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2019 |
| Seney Nwr | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2007 |
| Cromwell | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2022 |
| Sawbill Camp | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2019 |
| Glendale | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2021 |
| Land O Lakes | WISCONSIN | 2 | 2009 |
| Phillips | WISCONSIN | 2 | 1988 |
| Mcnaughton | WISCONSIN | 2 | 1997 |
| Shingleton | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2012 |
| Muskallonge | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2016 |
| Gilchrist | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2010 |
| Pine River | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2007 |
| Hiawatha Nf | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1992 |
| Betchler Lks | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2004 |
| Sidnaw | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2015 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.