BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-tipped Dove Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

White-tipped Dove in Texas has surged: up 674% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

+674%Since 1974TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-tipped Dove Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-tipped Dove in Texas. See the full index history below.

White-tipped Dove Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, White-tipped Dove in Texas is projected to rise about 40% by 2030 — from 0.27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.15–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+40%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.38Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.15–0.6095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±81.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-tipped Dove in Texas is projected to rise about 40% by 2030 — from 0.27 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.15–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19712030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.350.130.57
20270.360.130.58
20280.360.140.59
20290.370.140.59
20300.380.150.60

White-tipped Dove Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording White-tipped Dove in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sejita1820241995
George West920252009
Three Rivers920252014
Raymondville920251973
Encinal720101993
Campbellton620182008
Millett520122009
L. Atascosa Nwr420251998
Laredo420192002
Rachal320251991
Leakey320192019
Indian Mtn320242017
Mirando City220182018
San Ygnacio219811977
Catarina220102010
Millett 2220242021
El Sauz220231993
Catarina 2220142011
San Pedro220251998
Lag Atascosa120251975
Agua Nueva120132008
Zapata119871971
Kingsville120242024
Petronila120212021
Randado120152011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.