Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-throated Swift In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
White-throated Swift in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-92%Since 1970
58Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
White-throated Swift has collapsed in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-throated Swift in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.98 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1301.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.98Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.595% range
±1301.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2029 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
| Dateland | ARIZONA | 82 | 2016 |
| Squaw Peak | ARIZONA | 35 | 1970 |
| Parker Dam | CALIFORNIA | 16 | 2007 |
| Cutter 2 | ARIZONA | 13 | 2018 |
| Joshua Tree 2 | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2014 |
| Florence | ARIZONA | 7 | 1971 |
| Antares | ARIZONA | 6 | 2002 |
| Ajo 2 | ARIZONA | 6 | 2022 |
| Calif City | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 1977 |
| Glamis | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2018 |
| Blythe | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 1979 |
| Ubehebe | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1999 |
| Onyx | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1998 |
| Coachella Cn | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2013 |
| Lone Pine | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2011 |
| Vicksburg | ARIZONA | 3 | 1988 |
| Ajo | ARIZONA | 3 | 2001 |
| Gila Bend | ARIZONA | 3 | 2022 |
| Araby | ARIZONA | 3 | 2006 |
| Wildrose | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2004 |
| Trona | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1997 |
| Iron Mtns | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2018 |
| Imperial Dam | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1992 |
| Val Of Fire | NEVADA | 3 | 2021 |
| Laguna | ARIZONA | 2 | 2011 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.