Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-throated Swift In Shortgrass Prairie
White-throated Swift in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-52%Since 1983
8Routes In Region
34Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
White-throated Swift has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-throated Swift in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 90% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-90%Change by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0795% range
±60.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2028 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Chugwater | WYOMING | 5 | 2024 |
| Murray Lake | NEBRASKA | 4 | 2003 |
| Sabinoso | NEW-MEXICO | 4 | 2021 |
| Villegreen | COLORADO | 2 | 2023 |
| Pine Ridge | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2000 |
| Ninaview | COLORADO | 1 | 2018 |
| Crawford | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2017 |
| Lingle | WYOMING | 1 | 1986 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.