BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-tailed Kite In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

White-tailed Kite in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-63%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
17Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
33YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-tailed Kite in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

White-tailed Kite In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-tailed Kite in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2026TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2026 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±63.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-tailed Kite in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20220.010.000.06
20230.010.000.06
20240.000.000.06
20250.000.000.06
20260.000.000.05

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording White-tailed Kite in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HoneydewCALIFORNIA31991
Bodega BayCALIFORNIA22008
Pe EllWASHINGTON22008
Crescent CtyCALIFORNIA11985
HolmesCALIFORNIA12013
Fish RockCALIFORNIA12006
Martins FyCALIFORNIA11989
Rio DellCALIFORNIA11981
NavarroCALIFORNIA11986
LongvaleCALIFORNIA12016
AlderpointCALIFORNIA12012
LaytonvilleCALIFORNIA12016
UmpquaOREGON12007
ElktonOREGON12021
Emigrant LkOREGON11998
Emigrant Lake 2OREGON12005
Bunker HillWASHINGTON11987

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.