BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White Ibis In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

White Ibis in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-47%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White Ibis in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

White Ibis In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White Ibis in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 21 (95% range 0.58–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.58–4195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±73.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White Ibis in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 21 (95% range 0.58–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026210.4741
2027210.5041
2028210.5341
2029210.5541
2030210.5841

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording White Ibis in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CrewsvilleFLORIDA1022025
ScottsmoorFLORIDA962025
AripekaFLORIDA852025
Citrus ParkFLORIDA772025
Shawano 2FLORIDA712011
DavieFLORIDA592017
San AntonioFLORIDA532025
SandyFLORIDA502015
St LucieFLORIDA452025
Wildernes PkFLORIDA372014
Sunniland GrFLORIDA362019
Vero BeachFLORIDA332022
Merritt Island 2FLORIDA302014
Winter GardnFLORIDA292019
Holey LandFLORIDA282025
PinecrestFLORIDA272025
KendallFLORIDA271988
Myakka HeadFLORIDA252011
Polk CityFLORIDA242025
Pleasant GrFLORIDA242009
Mabel 2FLORIDA242025
Card SoundFLORIDA242021
IndiantownFLORIDA222017
Punta GordaFLORIDA202015
CroomFLORIDA192025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.