Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-faced Ibis In Prairie Potholes
White-faced Ibis in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 2000.
21×Since 2000
24Routes In Region
21Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-faced Ibis has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 2000.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-faced Ibis in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.49 (95% range 0.17–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-3%Change by 2029
0.49Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.8195% range
±41.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.74 |
| 2026 | 0.44 | 0.12 | 0.76 |
| 2027 | 0.46 | 0.14 | 0.78 |
| 2028 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 0.79 |
| 2029 | 0.49 | 0.17 | 0.81 |
Routes In Prairie Potholes
| White Lake | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 18 | 2008 |
| Stanley | NORTH-DAKOTA | 14 | 2024 |
| Great Falls | MONTANA | 12 | 2019 |
| Horsehead Lk | NORTH-DAKOTA | 10 | 2024 |
| Turton | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2007 |
| Wild Rose | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2024 |
| Buchanan | NORTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2023 |
| Lake George | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2021 |
| Sheyenne Lk | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2024 |
| Turtle Mtns | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2016 |
| Crow Creek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2023 |
| Ester Lake | MONTANA | 2 | 2019 |
| Forman | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2023 |
| Wimbledon | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2021 |
| Webster | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2014 |
| Cooperstown | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2021 |
| Niles | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2024 |
| Denbigh | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2024 |
| Braddock | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2019 |
| Montpelier | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2024 |
| Broadland | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2013 |
| Britton | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2021 |
| Forbes | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2024 |
| Gettysburg | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.