BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-eyed Vireo In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

White-eyed Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 153% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+153%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-eyed Vireo has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 153% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-eyed Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 24 (95% range 20–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-eyed Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 24 (95% range 20–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025231928
2026241928
2027242028
2028242028
2029242029

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording White-eyed Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FredTEXAS632024
Flat CreekLOUISIANA622024
WomackLOUISIANA582024
GoodwillLOUISIANA542024
DibollTEXAS532024
ClayLOUISIANA522024
Bon WierTEXAS492024
IvanLOUISIANA472013
Ivan 2LOUISIANA472016
GraysonLOUISIANA472021
Big Sandy BithTEXAS452024
TroutLOUISIANA442024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA442024
WechesTEXAS432024
EvelynLOUISIANA412024
Alexander StTEXAS412024
Lance Rosier BithTEXAS402019
Neches BithTEXAS402017
LockesburgARKANSAS382019
LongstreetLOUISIANA372024
Burr FerryLOUISIANA362024
HargisLOUISIANA362011
Princeton 2ARKANSAS352022
BethelOKLAHOMA352024
Fort JessupLOUISIANA342023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.