Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-crowned Sparrow In BCR 4
White-crowned Sparrow in BCR 4 has edged down: down 17% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
-17%Since 1976
70Routes In Region
47Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for White-crowned Sparrow in BCR 4. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-crowned Sparrow in BCR 4 is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 30 (95% range 16–44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-11%Change by 2029
30Projected 2029 index
16–4495% range
±17.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31 | 16 | 45 |
| 2026 | 30 | 16 | 45 |
| 2027 | 30 | 16 | 45 |
| 2028 | 30 | 16 | 44 |
| 2029 | 30 | 16 | 44 |
Routes In BCR 4
| Monahan | ALASKA | 175 | 2021 |
| Cantwell | ALASKA | 162 | 2021 |
| Savage | ALASKA | 137 | 2024 |
| Delta | ALASKA | 112 | 2024 |
| Toklat | ALASKA | 96 | 2024 |
| Maclaren | ALASKA | 78 | 2024 |
| Mt. Fairplay | ALASKA | 77 | 2024 |
| Eagle | ALASKA | 72 | 2024 |
| Lake Louise | ALASKA | 72 | 2014 |
| Caribou Mtn. | ALASKA | 62 | 2024 |
| Kuskulana | ALASKA | 57 | 2024 |
| Circle | ALASKA | 46 | 2024 |
| Chatanika R | ALASKA | 46 | 2023 |
| Wasilla | ALASKA | 44 | 1983 |
| Paxson Lake | ALASKA | 44 | 1997 |
| Kanuti Lake | ALASKA | 42 | 2024 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | ALASKA | 42 | 2024 |
| Chicken | ALASKA | 40 | 2024 |
| Mcgrath | ALASKA | 40 | 2022 |
| Kalifonsky | ALASKA | 39 | 2023 |
| Coldfoot | ALASKA | 39 | 2024 |
| Goose Bay | ALASKA | 36 | 1982 |
| Moose Creek | ALASKA | 36 | 2022 |
| Nabesna Road | ALASKA | 36 | 2024 |
| Sourdough | ALASKA | 34 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.