Species · BCR 3 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-crowned Sparrow In BCR 3
White-crowned Sparrow in BCR 3 has surged: up 213% on the route-weighted index since 1995.
+213%Since 1995
4Routes In Region
31Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-crowned Sparrow has surged in BCR 3: up 213% on the route-weighted index since 1995.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-crowned Sparrow in BCR 3 is projected to rise about 63% by 2029 — from 35 in 2024 to a central estimate of 57 (95% range 38–76). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+63%Change by 2029
57Projected 2029 index
38–7695% range
±22.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52 | 33 | 71 |
| 2026 | 54 | 34 | 73 |
| 2027 | 55 | 36 | 74 |
| 2028 | 56 | 37 | 75 |
| 2029 | 57 | 38 | 76 |
Routes In BCR 3
| Dietrich Cmp | ALASKA | 63 | 2024 |
| Galbraith L. | ALASKA | 44 | 2024 |
| Red Dog | ALASKA | 20 | 2024 |
| Happy Valley | ALASKA | 14 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.