Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-crowned Sparrow In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
White-crowned Sparrow in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 857% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+857%Since 1970
123Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-crowned Sparrow has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 857% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-crowned Sparrow in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 4.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.8 (95% range 3.4–8.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
5.8Projected 2029 index
3.4–8.395% range
±62.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 7.9 |
| 2026 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 8.0 |
| 2027 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 8.1 |
| 2028 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 8.2 |
| 2029 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 8.3 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Stillwater Pass 2 | COLORADO | 63 | 2024 |
| Gooseberry | UTAH | 49 | 2024 |
| Buffalo Park | COLORADO | 38 | 2023 |
| Soapstone | UTAH | 38 | 2024 |
| Stillwater Pass | COLORADO | 35 | 2009 |
| Navajo Lake | UTAH | 35 | 2024 |
| Steamboat L. | COLORADO | 34 | 2024 |
| Ragged Mtn. | COLORADO | 34 | 2019 |
| Willow Peak | COLORADO | 32 | 2021 |
| Lake City | COLORADO | 31 | 2003 |
| Castleton | COLORADO | 29 | 2024 |
| Yampa | COLORADO | 26 | 2023 |
| Red Cliff | COLORADO | 26 | 2024 |
| Weston Pass 2 | COLORADO | 26 | 2024 |
| Skyline Driv | UTAH | 26 | 2016 |
| Heber Mtn. | UTAH | 26 | 2024 |
| Ryan Park | WYOMING | 26 | 2023 |
| Wasatch Nf | UTAH | 23 | 2024 |
| Dunckley Pas | COLORADO | 22 | 2024 |
| Mount Evans | COLORADO | 22 | 2024 |
| Heeney | COLORADO | 21 | 2019 |
| Tincup | COLORADO | 20 | 2024 |
| Walden | COLORADO | 19 | 2024 |
| Lost Lake | COLORADO | 19 | 2024 |
| Weston Pass | COLORADO | 19 | 2000 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.