BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Meadowlark In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGrassland birds

Western Meadowlark in Prairie Hardwood Transition has collapsed: down 100% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-100%Since 1968
125Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Meadowlark has collapsed in Prairie Hardwood Transition: down 100% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Meadowlark in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16190.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±16190.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.0011
20260.000.0011
20270.000.0011
20280.000.0011
20290.000.0011

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Western Meadowlark in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Cherry ValILLINOIS132002
KingswayOHIO81976
Buena VistaWISCONSIN72024
Rolling GrndWISCONSIN62001
CochraneWISCONSIN41985
Le CenterMINNESOTA31999
GilmantonWISCONSIN32021
ManawaWISCONSIN31998
N AndoverWISCONSIN32019
Prairie Du ChienWISCONSIN32012
KielWISCONSIN32007
HollandWISCONSIN32006
PackertownINDIANA21986
FestinaIOWA22019
New TroyMICHIGAN21983
St CharlesMICHIGAN21979
FowlervilleMICHIGAN21977
DeckervilleMICHIGAN22007
OsseoMINNESOTA22002
KnappMINNESOTA22008
EvergreenMINNESOTA22023
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA21998
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN22006
HatfieldWISCONSIN21994
MatherWISCONSIN21966

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.