Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In Peninsular Florida

Western Cattle-Egret in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-65%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 23 (95% range 0.00–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
23Projected 2029 index
0.005295% range
±48.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025270.0056
2026260.0055
2027250.0054
2028240.0053
2029230.0052

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Peninsular Florida.
Babcock RnchFLORIDA1201990
St LucieFLORIDA1172024
AlturasFLORIDA1111986
FlemingtonFLORIDA1061999
Mabel 2FLORIDA1042019
Mt. OliveFLORIDA1032024
NobletonFLORIDA882024
Dale MabryFLORIDA831988
MicanopyFLORIDA801991
San AntonioFLORIDA802024
Pennywash CrFLORIDA742024
ShawanoFLORIDA722002
Myakka HeadFLORIDA682011
MabelFLORIDA682011
BelmoreFLORIDA622024
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA602021
KendallFLORIDA591991
Devils GardnFLORIDA562024
GardnerFLORIDA541999
Lake BuffumFLORIDA492024
IndiantownFLORIDA482017
KissimmeeFLORIDA472022
Sandy 2FLORIDA382024
CrewsvilleFLORIDA342024
Wildernes PkFLORIDA332014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.