Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret In Peninsular Florida
Western Cattle-Egret in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-65%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 23 (95% range 0.00–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-3%Change by 2029
23Projected 2029 index
0.00–5295% range
±48.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 0.00 | 56 |
| 2026 | 26 | 0.00 | 55 |
| 2027 | 25 | 0.00 | 54 |
| 2028 | 24 | 0.00 | 53 |
| 2029 | 23 | 0.00 | 52 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Babcock Rnch | FLORIDA | 120 | 1990 |
| St Lucie | FLORIDA | 117 | 2024 |
| Alturas | FLORIDA | 111 | 1986 |
| Flemington | FLORIDA | 106 | 1999 |
| Mabel 2 | FLORIDA | 104 | 2019 |
| Mt. Olive | FLORIDA | 103 | 2024 |
| Nobleton | FLORIDA | 88 | 2024 |
| Dale Mabry | FLORIDA | 83 | 1988 |
| Micanopy | FLORIDA | 80 | 1991 |
| San Antonio | FLORIDA | 80 | 2024 |
| Pennywash Cr | FLORIDA | 74 | 2024 |
| Shawano | FLORIDA | 72 | 2002 |
| Myakka Head | FLORIDA | 68 | 2011 |
| Mabel | FLORIDA | 68 | 2011 |
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 62 | 2024 |
| Myakka Head 2 | FLORIDA | 60 | 2021 |
| Kendall | FLORIDA | 59 | 1991 |
| Devils Gardn | FLORIDA | 56 | 2024 |
| Gardner | FLORIDA | 54 | 1999 |
| Lake Buffum | FLORIDA | 49 | 2024 |
| Indiantown | FLORIDA | 48 | 2017 |
| Kissimmee | FLORIDA | 47 | 2022 |
| Sandy 2 | FLORIDA | 38 | 2024 |
| Crewsville | FLORIDA | 34 | 2024 |
| Wildernes Pk | FLORIDA | 33 | 2014 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.