BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasWetland birds

Western Cattle-Egret in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 422% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+422%Since 1969
100Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 421% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 7.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 0.00–36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±136.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+79%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
0.00–3695% range
±136.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025130.0036
2026130.0036
2027130.0036
2028130.0036
2029130.0036

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
DerryLOUISIANA2871989
EastonLOUISIANA1721990
ChandlerTEXAS892004
DibollTEXAS882024
CypressLOUISIANA691987
FillmoreLOUISIANA571989
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA532021
SandbluffOKLAHOMA391993
Mt. SelmanTEXAS362024
OakdaleLOUISIANA351994
Mer RougeLOUISIANA342008
NatchezLOUISIANA322024
HopeARKANSAS312024
SmyrnaTEXAS312010
EnterpriseLOUISIANA292024
Bon WierTEXAS292023
NatchitochesLOUISIANA281991
Neches BithTEXAS272017
MassardARKANSAS252006
New WaverlyTEXAS222024
Derry 2LOUISIANA212024
CrowsARKANSAS201989
WechesTEXAS202024
BlancoOKLAHOMA172003
Chandler 2TEXAS172024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.