Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In Oaks and Prairies

Western Cattle-Egret in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 835% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+835%Since 1970
71Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 835% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 42 (95% range 9.8–75). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±121.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+47%Change by 2029
42Projected 2029 index
9.87595% range
±121.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025418.974
2026429.174
2027429.374
2028429.674
2029429.875

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Oaks and Prairies.
Massey LakeTEXAS4782024
GrafordTEXAS3112019
CarlosTEXAS2632024
Wills PointTEXAS2422016
OakwoodTEXAS2251995
SadlerTEXAS1572024
ThorntonTEXAS1401984
CayugaTEXAS1222024
Arenosa CrkTEXAS1032023
LockhartTEXAS662024
CreedmoreTEXAS612014
Oak GroveTEXAS581999
LocoOKLAHOMA361985
Whit Mtn.TEXAS322019
MegargelTEXAS322024
Lone OakTEXAS292022
HenriettaTEXAS292022
CleburneTEXAS292024
DallasTEXAS282024
BrucevilleTEXAS252024
WalburgTEXAS222024
CampbelltonTEXAS212024
FanninTEXAS192023
Wolfe CityTEXAS181987
Oak Grove 2TEXAS182024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.