Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret In Oaks and Prairies
Western Cattle-Egret in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 835% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+835%Since 1970
71Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 835% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 42 (95% range 9.8–75). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±121.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+47%Change by 2029
42Projected 2029 index
9.8–7595% range
±121.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41 | 8.9 | 74 |
| 2026 | 42 | 9.1 | 74 |
| 2027 | 42 | 9.3 | 74 |
| 2028 | 42 | 9.6 | 74 |
| 2029 | 42 | 9.8 | 75 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 478 | 2024 |
| Graford | TEXAS | 311 | 2019 |
| Carlos | TEXAS | 263 | 2024 |
| Wills Point | TEXAS | 242 | 2016 |
| Oakwood | TEXAS | 225 | 1995 |
| Sadler | TEXAS | 157 | 2024 |
| Thornton | TEXAS | 140 | 1984 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 122 | 2024 |
| Arenosa Crk | TEXAS | 103 | 2023 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 66 | 2024 |
| Creedmore | TEXAS | 61 | 2014 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 58 | 1999 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 36 | 1985 |
| Whit Mtn. | TEXAS | 32 | 2019 |
| Megargel | TEXAS | 32 | 2024 |
| Lone Oak | TEXAS | 29 | 2022 |
| Henrietta | TEXAS | 29 | 2022 |
| Cleburne | TEXAS | 29 | 2024 |
| Dallas | TEXAS | 28 | 2024 |
| Bruceville | TEXAS | 25 | 2024 |
| Walburg | TEXAS | 22 | 2024 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 21 | 2024 |
| Fannin | TEXAS | 19 | 2023 |
| Wolfe City | TEXAS | 18 | 1987 |
| Oak Grove 2 | TEXAS | 18 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.