Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Bluebird In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Western Bluebird in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-52%Since 1970
72Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Bluebird has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Bluebird in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.00–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.28Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7895% range
±38.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.82 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
| 2027 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2028 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
| 2029 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Alderpoint | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2012 |
| Honeydew | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2017 |
| Navarro | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2009 |
| Emigrant Lk | OREGON | 8 | 2001 |
| Sams Valley | OREGON | 8 | 2024 |
| Burnt Ranch | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2013 |
| Elkton | OREGON | 6 | 2024 |
| Mccloud | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2021 |
| South Fork Mtn | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2022 |
| Salem | OREGON | 5 | 2023 |
| Hullville | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2019 |
| Umpqua | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Days Creek | OREGON | 4 | 2021 |
| Garfield | OREGON | 4 | 2022 |
| Harlan 2 | OREGON | 4 | 2016 |
| Fish Rock | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2012 |
| Martins Fy | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1981 |
| Korbel | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2004 |
| Gazelle | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Trask Summit | OREGON | 3 | 1992 |
| Waldport | OREGON | 3 | 1999 |
| Green | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Ruch | OREGON | 3 | 2023 |
| Riley Peak | OREGON | 3 | 2014 |
| Holmes | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.