Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Piedmont
Warbling Vireo in Piedmont has surged: up 198% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+198%Since 1968
56Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has surged in Piedmont: up 198% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Piedmont is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.45 (95% range 0.25–0.64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-24%Change by 2029
0.45Projected 2029 index
0.25–0.6495% range
±24.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.43 | 0.24 | 0.63 |
| 2026 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.63 |
| 2027 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.64 |
| 2028 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.64 |
| 2029 | 0.45 | 0.25 | 0.64 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 16 | 2024 |
| West Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 11 | 1996 |
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 6 | 2024 |
| Mount Joy | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Chatham | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 3 | 2022 |
| Jacobus | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Taylorstown | VIRGINIA | 3 | 2007 |
| Taylorstown 2 | VIRGINIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Bachman Mill | MARYLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Randallstown | MARYLAND | 2 | 2013 |
| Upper Xrds | MARYLAND | 2 | 2006 |
| Van Bibber | MARYLAND | 2 | 2011 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Collegeville | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Aspers | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1973 |
| Bendersville | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Silver Spg | MARYLAND | 1 | 1979 |
| Norwood | MARYLAND | 1 | 1978 |
| Warfieldsbrg | MARYLAND | 1 | 2023 |
| Pleasant Val | MARYLAND | 1 | 2024 |
| Fowblesburg | MARYLAND | 1 | 2016 |
| Eklo | MARYLAND | 1 | 2014 |
| Theodore | MARYLAND | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.