BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Virginia Rail In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastWetland birds

Virginia Rail in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+103%Since 1968
17Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Virginia Rail has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±37.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.050.000.12
20260.050.000.12
20270.050.000.12
20280.050.000.12
20290.050.000.12

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Virginia Rail in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
GloucesterVIRGINIA41999
HongaMARYLAND32024
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT22008
Warren 2CONNECTICUT22013
MadisonMARYLAND22024
No WoodburyCONNECTICUT12013
WarrenCONNECTICUT12010
HarringtonDELAWARE12021
BlackbirdDELAWARE12021
CokesburyMARYLAND12021
MarionMASSACHUSETTS11969
N. AndoverMASSACHUSETTS12022
Warren 2MASSACHUSETTS12021
BrentwoodNEW-HAMPSHIRE11982
Block IslandRHODE-ISLAND11989
Colonial PkyVIRGINIA11998
Chincoteag WVIRGINIA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.