Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Virginia Rail In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Virginia Rail in Prairie Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-54%Since 1970
52Routes In Region
50Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Virginia Rail in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.000.0595% range
±33.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.000.05
20260.020.000.05
20270.020.000.05
20280.020.000.05
20290.020.000.05

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Virginia Rail in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
ScottvilleMICHIGAN21971
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN22003
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN22021
PrincetonMINNESOTA21975
EvergreenMINNESOTA22012
HebronWISCONSIN21990
MiddleburyINDIANA12004
Indiana DuneINDIANA12015
LawrenceMICHIGAN11973
BravoMICHIGAN11996
NashvilleMICHIGAN12018
GalesburgMICHIGAN12023
MontereyMICHIGAN12012
MottvilleMICHIGAN12001
HomerMICHIGAN11985
JuniataMICHIGAN11990
S LyonsMICHIGAN11978
HungerfordMICHIGAN12000
RochesterMICHIGAN12011
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN12008
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN12001
Money CreekMINNESOTA11991
MinnetonkaMINNESOTA12005
OsseoMINNESOTA12014
KnappMINNESOTA12004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.