Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia Rail In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Virginia Rail in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1990.
-77%Since 1990
17Routes In Region
23Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Virginia Rail has collapsed in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1990.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±289.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±289.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Moffat | COLORADO | 2 | 2023 |
| Fruita | COLORADO | 2 | 2002 |
| Dolores | COLORADO | 1 | 1976 |
| Falfa | COLORADO | 1 | 2024 |
| Wray Gulch | COLORADO | 1 | 2002 |
| Doyleville | COLORADO | 1 | 2021 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 1 | 2007 |
| Paonia | COLORADO | 1 | 2005 |
| Cokedale | COLORADO | 1 | 2023 |
| Ojo Sarco | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2007 |
| Angel Fire | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1998 |
| Vallecitos | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2023 |
| Angel Fire 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2015 |
| Hanksville | UTAH | 1 | 2002 |
| Hatch | UTAH | 1 | 2004 |
| Bicknell | UTAH | 1 | 2005 |
| Alton | UTAH | 1 | 1997 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.