Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia Rail In Atlantic Northern Forest
Virginia Rail in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-81%Since 1973
19Routes In Region
23Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Virginia Rail has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±152.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±152.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| 2024 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2025 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Forest Sta | MAINE | 3 | 1985 |
| Hudson | MAINE | 2 | 1989 |
| Bethel | MAINE | 1 | 2012 |
| Bowdoin Ctr | MAINE | 1 | 1989 |
| Hermon | MAINE | 1 | 1983 |
| Waite | MAINE | 1 | 1977 |
| Ashland | MAINE | 1 | 1990 |
| Jefferson | MAINE | 1 | 2005 |
| Jefferson Hl | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 1 | 1967 |
| Milan | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 1 | 1974 |
| Newcomb | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1975 |
| St Regis Fls | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2012 |
| Marlboro | VERMONT | 1 | 1976 |
| Stratton | VERMONT | 1 | 1977 |
| Post Mills | VERMONT | 1 | 2022 |
| S Wallingfrd | VERMONT | 1 | 1983 |
| W Rutland | VERMONT | 1 | 2015 |
| East Calais | VERMONT | 1 | 1981 |
| Waterville | VERMONT | 1 | 1967 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.