Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Virginia Rail In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Virginia Rail in Boreal Hardwood Transition has declined: down 45% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-45%Since 1971
31Routes In Region
35Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Virginia Rail in Boreal Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Virginia Rail in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.000.0695% range
±35%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.010.000.06
20260.010.000.06
20270.010.000.06
20280.010.000.06
20290.010.000.06

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Virginia Rail in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Gibbs CityMICHIGAN41992
ExelandWISCONSIN22001
CunardMICHIGAN11985
MuskallongeMICHIGAN12006
TahquamenonMICHIGAN12013
Skegemog PtMICHIGAN11993
RiggsvilleMICHIGAN12017
SkeelsMICHIGAN11974
CathroMICHIGAN11979
Seney NwrMICHIGAN12024
Wigwam BayMINNESOTA12014
BackusMINNESOTA11998
Hart LakeMINNESOTA11998
Island LakeMINNESOTA11985
Sherry LakeMINNESOTA11997
DebsMINNESOTA12013
McgregorMINNESOTA12024
BrainerdMINNESOTA12007
BlackduckMINNESOTA12013
GreenbushMINNESOTA12022
NebishMINNESOTA12019
Tamarac NwrMINNESOTA11998
Iron RiverWISCONSIN11985
MinongWISCONSIN12021
MontrealWISCONSIN12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.