BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Vermilion Flycatcher In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieAerial insectivores

Vermilion Flycatcher in Gulf Coastal Prairie has edged down: down 19% on the route-weighted index since 1998.

-19%Since 1998
6Routes In Region
18Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Vermilion Flycatcher in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Vermilion Flycatcher in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 196% by 2023 — from 0.08 in 2018 to a central estimate of 0.24 (95% range 0.00–0.58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+196%Change by 2023
0.24Projected 2023 index
0.00–0.5895% range
±62.7%Backtest error
19712023
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20190.250.000.59
20200.240.000.59
20210.240.000.59
20220.240.000.59
20230.240.000.58

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Vermilion Flycatcher in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
StowellTEXAS21971
San PedroTEXAS22018
GlencoeLOUISIANA11997
Loyola BeachTEXAS11999
BaysideTEXAS12003
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS12017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.