BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Vermilion Flycatcher In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalAerial insectivores

Vermilion Flycatcher in Sierra Madre Occidental has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+4%Since 1970
18Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Vermilion Flycatcher in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Vermilion Flycatcher in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 49% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.92 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2029
0.92Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.395% range
±56.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.950.002.4
20260.940.002.4
20270.940.002.3
20280.930.002.3
20290.920.002.3

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Vermilion Flycatcher in Sierra Madre Occidental.
PomereneARIZONA112024
PatagoniaARIZONA112024
AmadoARIZONA102023
RedingtonARIZONA72023
Peña BlancaARIZONA62024
SunizonaARIZONA51997
McnealARIZONA32018
Skull ValleyARIZONA22024
SahuaritaARIZONA22024
San SimonARIZONA12016
CutterARIZONA12000
Clay SpringARIZONA12022
Carr MtnARIZONA12011
PortalARIZONA12018
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12022
DragoonARIZONA11996
RuckerARIZONA12008
ReserveNEW-MEXICO12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.