BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Verdin In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieArid-land birds

Verdin in Gulf Coastal Prairie has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1979.

-53%Since 1979
5Routes In Region
29Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Verdin has fallen sharply in Gulf Coastal Prairie: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1979.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Verdin in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±432.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4395% range
±432.2%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.000.43
20260.170.000.43
20270.170.000.43
20280.170.000.43
20290.170.000.43

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Verdin in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
San PedroTEXAS72017
Lag AtascosaTEXAS12024
PetronilaTEXAS11975
Loyola BeachTEXAS12009
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.