Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Verdin In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Verdin in Tamaulipan Brushlands has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-81%Since 1969
25Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Verdin has collapsed in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Verdin in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 52% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.00–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±112.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-52%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.995% range
±112.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.5 | 0.00 | 9.0 |
| 2026 | 2.4 | 0.00 | 9.0 |
| 2027 | 2.4 | 0.00 | 8.9 |
| 2028 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 8.9 |
| 2029 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 8.9 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Guerra | TEXAS | 31 | 2018 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 24 | 2024 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 10 | 2015 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 10 | 2017 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 9 | 2023 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 7 | 1982 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| George West | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 4 | 2012 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 3 | 1979 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 3 | 2021 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 2 | 2002 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 2 | 2007 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.