Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Verdin In Shortgrass Prairie

Verdin in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-70%Since 1977
10Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Verdin has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Verdin in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.000.1495% range
±46.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.14
20260.040.000.14
20270.040.000.14
20280.040.000.14
20290.040.000.14

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Verdin in Shortgrass Prairie.
PecosTEXAS172017
PlainsTEXAS32016
RankinTEXAS22024
WinkTEXAS21986
DoughertyTEXAS22008
San SimonNEW-MEXICO12019
PostTEXAS12019
StilesTEXAS12017
MentoneTEXAS12008
MidlandTEXAS11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.