Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Varied Thrush In Great Basin
Varied Thrush in Great Basin has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-47%Since 1970
30Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Varied Thrush in Great Basin. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Varied Thrush in Great Basin is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+43%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±72.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Cascade Riv | WASHINGTON | 21 | 2006 |
| Glacier | WASHINGTON | 17 | 2024 |
| White Chuck | WASHINGTON | 16 | 2024 |
| Index | WASHINGTON | 13 | 1997 |
| Newhalem | WASHINGTON | 8 | 2024 |
| Index | WASHINGTON | 8 | 1971 |
| Snowden | WASHINGTON | 8 | 1973 |
| Suiattle Riv | WASHINGTON | 7 | 2019 |
| Joseph | OREGON | 5 | 1984 |
| Index 2 | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2023 |
| No Cascades | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2019 |
| Rimrock | WASHINGTON | 4 | 2024 |
| Kendall | WASHINGTON | 4 | 2024 |
| Winthrop | WASHINGTON | 3 | 1999 |
| Camp Sherman | OREGON | 2 | 1986 |
| Davis Lake | OREGON | 2 | 2001 |
| Sisters | OREGON | 2 | 2012 |
| Twisp | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2008 |
| Ronald | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2024 |
| Carlton | WASHINGTON | 2 | 1999 |
| Mazama | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2022 |
| L. Wenatchee | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2023 |
| Concrete | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2024 |
| E. Mt. Adams | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2011 |
| Barnes Val | OREGON | 1 | 1971 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.