BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Upland Sandpiper In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Prairie Potholes has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+30%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
119Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Upland Sandpiper in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Upland Sandpiper In Prairie Potholes Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.9 (95% range 3.9–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.9–9.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.9 (95% range 3.9–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266.83.89.8
20276.83.89.8
20286.83.89.8
20296.83.99.8
20306.93.99.9

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Prairie Potholes.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ParshallNORTH-DAKOTA542013
Long LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA482019
White LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA442011
CondeSOUTH-DAKOTA341984
GettysburgSOUTH-DAKOTA332023
Crow CreekSOUTH-DAKOTA322023
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA272023
LoraineNORTH-DAKOTA272019
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA242025
Wild RoseNORTH-DAKOTA242025
Powers LakeNORTH-DAKOTA242025
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA232025
RedstoneMONTANA222025
KanawhaIOWA202025
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA192025
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA182025
TitonkaIOWA162025
MadisonNEBRASKA162025
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA152025
WestbyMONTANA152025
Douglas CrkNORTH-DAKOTA152025
Lane 2SOUTH-DAKOTA152014
Sheyenne LkNORTH-DAKOTA142025
TildenNEBRASKA132025
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA132025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.