BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Great Basin has surged: up 296% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+296%Since 1970
187Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Great Basin: up 296% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Great Basin is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.3–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
1.3–2.995% range
±16%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.01.22.8
20262.01.22.8
20272.11.22.9
20282.11.32.9
20292.11.32.9

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Great Basin.
Fish LakeOREGON872024
Iron GateCALIFORNIA492019
Ruby Valley 2NEVADA462024
PromontoryUTAH372024
Magic MtnIDAHO272024
IngallsCALIFORNIA232001
MacdoelCALIFORNIA232019
GrantsvilleUTAH222023
Modoc Point 2OREGON212024
RimrockWASHINGTON152024
Warner VallyOREGON132023
CedarvilleCALIFORNIA112024
YakimaWASHINGTON112021
SistersOREGON102013
AlmoIDAHO92023
Crowder FlatCALIFORNIA82017
BatesIDAHO82019
Dobbin CreekNEVADA82018
HikoNEVADA82023
Ruby ValleyNEVADA82001
Mill CityNEVADA82017
Meadow VallyNEVADA82024
Modoc PointOREGON82018
GoshenUTAH82018
LikelyCALIFORNIA72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.