BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+100%Since 1969
106Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 63% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.6–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+63%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
1.6–4.295% range
±52.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.71.44.0
20262.81.54.1
20272.81.54.1
20282.81.64.1
20292.91.64.2

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Shortgrass Prairie.
Kiowa 2COLORADO302024
HobbsNEW-MEXICO212024
Pine BluffWYOMING182022
StilesTEXAS102024
TimpasCOLORADO92013
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO92021
LamesaTEXAS92024
MiamiTEXAS92024
LakinKANSAS82021
VariaderoNEW-MEXICO62022
FeltOKLAHOMA62024
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA62024
ChanningTEXAS62018
KermitTEXAS61999
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA52024
Wildhorse LCOLORADO42024
TrincheraCOLORADO42021
VillegreenCOLORADO42024
CampoCOLORADO42018
JulesburgCOLORADO42019
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO42024
FloydNEW-MEXICO42023
LoganNEW-MEXICO42024
TwichellTEXAS42017
PinneoCOLORADO32010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.