BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

18×Since 1973
103Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.74 (95% range 0.44–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029
0.74Projected 2029 index
0.44–1.095% range
±40.3%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.680.380.98
20260.690.390.99
20270.710.411.0
20280.720.421.0
20290.740.441.0

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Atlantic Northern Forest.
East TroyMAINE112005
MilanNEW-HAMPSHIRE102024
Wilson MillsMAINE52024
CornvilleMAINE52024
East HavenVERMONT52022
CheshireMASSACHUSETTS41992
MarlowNEW-HAMPSHIRE42022
KasoagNEW-YORK42024
NewcombNEW-YORK42021
Horseshoe L.NEW-YORK42016
HartfordMAINE32024
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS32019
PetersburgNEW-YORK32010
WarrensburgNEW-YORK32018
St JohnsburyVERMONT32023
FreedomMAINE22006
HarmonyMAINE22024
CooperMAINE22010
Seboomook LkMAINE22013
Horse MtnMAINE22003
Lake MoxieMAINE22019
AndoverMAINE22017
CummingtonMASSACHUSETTS22013
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS22013
PeterboroughNEW-HAMPSHIRE22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.