BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 500% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+500%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 500% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.85 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.72 (95% range 0.41–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
0.72Projected 2029 index
0.41–1.095% range
±25.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.670.360.98
20260.680.370.99
20270.690.381.0
20280.710.401.0
20290.720.411.0

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN132024
SkeelsMICHIGAN82015
Isabella 2MICHIGAN82021
Lake CityMICHIGAN72015
PickfordMICHIGAN62024
OntonagonMICHIGAN52019
Crystal FlsMICHIGAN52022
Skegemog PtMICHIGAN52024
Beaver LakeMICHIGAN52011
Hubbard LakeMICHIGAN51990
Walloon Lake 2MICHIGAN52024
HerronMICHIGAN52013
HovlandMINNESOTA52023
Rib LakeWISCONSIN52017
CunardMICHIGAN42021
WarroadMINNESOTA42024
PhillipsWISCONSIN42023
Frederic 2MICHIGAN32014
Imp LakeMICHIGAN32016
Hiawatha NfMICHIGAN32021
BlackduckMINNESOTA32005
NebishMINNESOTA32023
Nett LakeMINNESOTA32024
Iron RiverWISCONSIN32022
Union TwpWISCONSIN32021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.