BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 128% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+128%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
346Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 128% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 20 (95% range 17–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
17–2395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 20 (95% range 17–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025191722
2026201722
2027201722
2028201723
2029201723

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PinettaFLORIDA772024
EpesALABAMA682024
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI632019
MiccosukeeFLORIDA622024
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI622019
Trace CentralMISSISSIPPI592022
BostonGEORGIA582024
CottontonALABAMA562024
Trace ChickasawMISSISSIPPI552024
Hildreth 2FLORIDA542024
Kiawah IslandSOUTH-CAROLINA512024
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA482022
BargesGEORGIA482024
DickeyGEORGIA462018
HeliconALABAMA452024
TupeloMISSISSIPPI442022
FairviewALABAMA432024
Sprott-Cahaba RivALABAMA432014
FowlstownGEORGIA432016
Trace HindsMISSISSIPPI432022
SpragueALABAMA422024
Warrior StdALABAMA422024
New HopeFLORIDA422011
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA422024
ElamvilleALABAMA412024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.