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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+84%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 25 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 13–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 25 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 13–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026191325
2027191325
2028191325
2029191325
2030191325

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LivingstonTEXAS522025
MortonTEXAS402025
WechesTEXAS392025
Mount UnionLOUISIANA362025
DibollTEXAS362025
CrossroadsTEXAS352025
Powell ParkTEXAS352021
GoodwillLOUISIANA342025
BlancoOKLAHOMA342016
StarkARKANSAS332025
NatchezLOUISIANA332025
Powell Park 2TEXAS332025
BlakelyARKANSAS321999
NanceARKANSAS322025
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA322023
Ouachita NfOKLAHOMA322025
Easton 2TEXAS322025
Ivan 2LOUISIANA302025
FredTEXAS302025
Alexander StTEXAS302025
SmyrnaTEXAS302010
Flat CreekLOUISIANA292025
Mt. SelmanTEXAS292025
Derry 2LOUISIANA282025
AthensTEXAS282025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.