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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has risen sharply: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+68%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 13–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 13–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025181224
2026181224
2027181224
2028181324
2029191325

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LivingstonTEXAS712024
New WaverlyTEXAS542024
ClayLOUISIANA522024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA412024
DibollTEXAS352024
CaledoniaTEXAS352024
Powell ParkTEXAS352021
LongstreetLOUISIANA342024
BlancoOKLAHOMA342016
NanceARKANSAS332024
BlakelyARKANSAS321999
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA322023
NatchezLOUISIANA312024
Ivan 2LOUISIANA302016
FredTEXAS302024
SmyrnaTEXAS302010
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS292024
Flat CreekLOUISIANA282024
Poyen 2ARKANSAS272024
ChathamLOUISIANA271975
IvanLOUISIANA272013
Union HillTEXAS272024
CrossroadsTEXAS262024
ChandlerTEXAS262004
CheniereLOUISIANA252024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.