BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Oaks and Prairies has risen sharply: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+65%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has risen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Tufted Titmouse In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 9.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.3–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.3–1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 9.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.3–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026127.816
2027127.916
2028128.116
2029128.217
2030138.317

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA572025
HeyburnOKLAHOMA512025
LydiaTEXAS312025
SkiatookOKLAHOMA282019
Oak GroveTEXAS281999
OsageTEXAS272006
SchroederTEXAS231997
ChoctawOKLAHOMA222023
TatumsOKLAHOMA222025
NobleOKLAHOMA212025
CayugaTEXAS212025
Wills PointTEXAS212023
OakwoodTEXAS201995
SadlerTEXAS172025
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA162025
BurtonTEXAS162025
PaigeTEXAS152025
Miller GroveTEXAS142025
Oak Grove 2TEXAS142025
BeggsOKLAHOMA132023
Arenosa CrkTEXAS132025
Thornton 2TEXAS132010
Blue RidgeTEXAS122025
YoakumTEXAS122025
Gambill Ref.TEXAS122025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.