Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tufted Titmouse In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Tufted Titmouse in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 369% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+369%Since 1968
77Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Tufted Titmouse has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 369% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 6.2–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
8.0Projected 2029 index
6.2–9.995% range
±23.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 9.4 |
| 2026 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 9.5 |
| 2027 | 7.8 | 5.9 | 9.7 |
| 2028 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 9.8 |
| 2029 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 9.9 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| North Easton | NEW-YORK | 29 | 2024 |
| North Pownal | VERMONT | 29 | 2024 |
| Herner Crns | OHIO | 25 | 2023 |
| Garrettsvile | OHIO | 22 | 1991 |
| W Shokan | NEW-YORK | 20 | 2019 |
| Highland | NEW-YORK | 19 | 2022 |
| Duanesburg | NEW-YORK | 19 | 2024 |
| Hebron | OHIO | 17 | 2024 |
| Catskills | NEW-YORK | 16 | 2015 |
| Austerlitz | NEW-YORK | 15 | 2024 |
| Shaftsbury | VERMONT | 14 | 2024 |
| Rhinebeck | NEW-YORK | 13 | 2024 |
| Ballston Lk | NEW-YORK | 13 | 1995 |
| Lucerne | OHIO | 13 | 2024 |
| Salem | NEW-YORK | 12 | 2024 |
| Middlefield | OHIO | 12 | 2017 |
| Clover | PENNSYLVANIA | 11 | 2024 |
| Oriskany Fls | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Canadice L | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Crescent | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Ghent | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Trumansburg | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Penfield | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Argyle | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Pittsfield | OHIO | 8 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.