Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tufted Titmouse In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Tufted Titmouse in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+158%Since 1972
25Routes In Region
44Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Tufted Titmouse has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 38% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.03–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-38%Change by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.2895% range
±43.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| 2026 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| 2028 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| 2029 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Bear Lake | MICHIGAN | 7 | 2024 |
| Harrietta | MICHIGAN | 6 | 2024 |
| Mayfield | MICHIGAN | 5 | 2022 |
| Frederic 2 | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2007 |
| Sand Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2023 |
| Skegemog Pt | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Riggsville | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2017 |
| Skeels | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2015 |
| Walloon Lake 2 | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Herron | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2013 |
| Pleasant Val | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1997 |
| Lake City | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2022 |
| Irons | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1972 |
| Frederic | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2000 |
| Red Oak | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2022 |
| Oberlin | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2024 |
| Cathro | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2011 |
| Beaver Lake | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1973 |
| Hubbard Lake | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1994 |
| Pleasant Valley 2 | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2024 |
| Union Twp | WISCONSIN | 1 | 1997 |
| Gilman | WISCONSIN | 1 | 2019 |
| Rib Lake | WISCONSIN | 1 | 2017 |
| Hollister | WISCONSIN | 1 | 1973 |
| Amberg | WISCONSIN | 1 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.