Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Townsend's Warbler Population Trend in Oregon
Townsend's Warbler in Oregon has surged: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+85%Since 1970
62Routes In State
56Years
Notable Townsend's Warbler Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
Townsend's Warbler has surged in Oregon: up 85% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Townsend's Warbler Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Warbler in Oregon is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.85–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+20%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.85–3.095% range
±28.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.78 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 0.80 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 0.82 | 3.0 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 0.83 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 0.85 | 3.0 |
Townsend's Warbler Survey Routes in Oregon
| Eagle Creek | 30 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Black Mtn. | 29 | 2004 | 1995 |
| Hash Rock | 25 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Newbridge | 22 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ochoco | 18 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ochoco | 17 | 1982 | 1972 |
| Shellrock | 14 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Howard Mdws. | 14 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Hells Canyon | 11 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Wickiup | 10 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Barnhouse | 9 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Flora | 8 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Svensen | 8 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Monument | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Granite | 7 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Silver Creek | 7 | 2010 | 1996 |
| Troy | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Summit Pr | 6 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Molalla | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | 5 | 2019 | 2009 |
| Mount Vernon | 4 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Unity | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Cool Camp | 3 | 2009 | 1968 |
| Scappoose | 3 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Sandy River | 2 | 2006 | 2006 |
Townsend's Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.