Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Townsend's Solitaire In Badlands and Prairies

Townsend's Solitaire in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 461% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+461%Since 1972
29Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Townsend's Solitaire has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 461% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Townsend's Solitaire in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 186% by 2029 — from 0.24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.70 (95% range 0.08–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±325.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+186%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.081.395% range
±325.3%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.660.051.3
20260.670.051.3
20270.680.061.3
20280.690.071.3
20290.700.081.3

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Townsend's Solitaire in Badlands and Prairies.
Elk MountainSOUTH-DAKOTA112004
MoskeeWYOMING92001
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA72013
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA52014
NorbeckSOUTH-DAKOTA52002
RochfordSOUTH-DAKOTA42017
Lightning CrSOUTH-DAKOTA42022
JordanMONTANA32010
HazelrodtSOUTH-DAKOTA32024
Moskee 3WYOMING32024
Maynard CouleeMONTANA22024
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA22024
Pleasant ValSOUTH-DAKOTA22024
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA22024
Moskee 2WYOMING22021
Reed PointMONTANA12024
BrandenbergMONTANA12009
Roubaix LkSOUTH-DAKOTA11989
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA12017
Silver CitySOUTH-DAKOTA12012
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA12014
SundanceWYOMING12024
BillWYOMING12000
SchoonoverWYOMING11993
MayoworthWYOMING12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.