BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Swallow-tailed Kite In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Swallow-tailed Kite in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+307%Since 1968
64Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Swallow-tailed Kite has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Swallow-tailed Kite in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.4–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+27%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.4–2.795% range
±23.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.32.5
20261.91.32.6
20272.01.42.6
20282.01.42.6
20292.01.42.7

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Swallow-tailed Kite in Peninsular Florida.
GardnerFLORIDA91999
Devils GardnFLORIDA92023
Ridge HarborFLORIDA72024
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA72024
SalvistaFLORIDA61977
PalmdaleFLORIDA62023
Babcock RnchFLORIDA61990
KenansvilleFLORIDA52024
San AntonioFLORIDA42024
Sunniland GrFLORIDA42021
HomesteadFLORIDA42015
Weaver StnFLORIDA42019
Mabel 2FLORIDA42018
CroomFLORIDA42024
RomeoFLORIDA32023
Myakka HeadFLORIDA32011
St AugustineFLORIDA32024
BelmoreFLORIDA32024
PinecrestFLORIDA32024
NobletonFLORIDA32024
ArbuckleFLORIDA32021
Island GroveFLORIDA32024
FlamingoFLORIDA32024
Holey LandFLORIDA32023
Polk CityFLORIDA22022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.