BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Swallow-tailed Kite In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Swallow-tailed Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

-47%Since 1992
8Routes In Region
33Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Swallow-tailed Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Swallow-tailed Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 208% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±251.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+208%Change by 2028
0.18Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.4895% range
±251.1%Backtest error
19902028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.180.000.48
20250.180.000.48
20260.180.000.48
20270.180.000.48
20280.180.000.48

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Swallow-tailed Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
KraemerLOUISIANA32022
Port AllenLOUISIANA32019
RoselandLOUISIANA22010
RamahLOUISIANA22023
BerwickLOUISIANA12018
Morgan CityLOUISIANA12022
River RoadLOUISIANA12013
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.