Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swainson's Warbler In Piedmont
Swainson's Warbler in Piedmont has surged: up 483% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
+483%Since 1981
31Routes In Region
29Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Swainson's Warbler has surged in Piedmont: up 483% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Warbler in Piedmont is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.03–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.1595% range
±64.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.15 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Liberty City 2 | ALABAMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Millerville | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Yates Crossroads | GEORGIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Plum Branch | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 2 | 1988 |
| Lanett | ALABAMA | 1 | 2024 |
| Liberty City | ALABAMA | 1 | 2005 |
| Nixburg 2 | ALABAMA | 1 | 2021 |
| Wedowee | ALABAMA | 1 | 2023 |
| Forsyth | GEORGIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Baldwin | GEORGIA | 1 | 1981 |
| Grovetown | GEORGIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Bowdon | GEORGIA | 1 | 2007 |
| Stockbridge | GEORGIA | 1 | 1985 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Juliette | GEORGIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Whitesburg | GEORGIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Lincolnton 2 | GEORGIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Sharon | GEORGIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Sunny Side | GEORGIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Rock Branch | GEORGIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Stoney Point 2 | GEORGIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Piedmont Nwr | GEORGIA | 1 | 1991 |
| Jordan | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 1979 |
| Oakboro | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2024 |
| Arcola | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2000 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.