Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Summer Tanager In Peninsular Florida
Summer Tanager in Peninsular Florida has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-11%Since 1968
44Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Summer Tanager in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Summer Tanager in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 38% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.69–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-38%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.69–2.895% range
±20.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 0.72 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 0.71 | 2.8 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 0.70 | 2.8 |
| 2028 | 1.8 | 0.69 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 1.8 | 0.69 | 2.8 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Citrus | FLORIDA | 26 | 2024 |
| Ocala | FLORIDA | 22 | 2024 |
| Croom | FLORIDA | 13 | 2024 |
| Island Grove | FLORIDA | 11 | 2024 |
| Nobleton | FLORIDA | 9 | 2024 |
| Micanopy | FLORIDA | 8 | 1991 |
| Goethe | FLORIDA | 7 | 2023 |
| Chassahowitz | FLORIDA | 6 | 2024 |
| Romeo | FLORIDA | 5 | 2024 |
| St Augustine | FLORIDA | 4 | 2024 |
| Arbuckle | FLORIDA | 4 | 2014 |
| Mt. Olive | FLORIDA | 4 | 2024 |
| Ft Mccoy | FLORIDA | 3 | 2024 |
| Pennywash Cr | FLORIDA | 3 | 1993 |
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 2 | 2024 |
| Flemington | FLORIDA | 2 | 1999 |
| Green Swamp | FLORIDA | 2 | 2024 |
| Dale Mabry | FLORIDA | 1 | 1986 |
| Myakka Head | FLORIDA | 1 | 1995 |
| San Antonio | FLORIDA | 1 | 2024 |
| Polk City | FLORIDA | 1 | 2016 |
| Mabel | FLORIDA | 1 | 2011 |
| Childs | FLORIDA | 1 | 2002 |
| Scottsmoor | FLORIDA | 1 | 1993 |
| Ft Lonesome | FLORIDA | 1 | 2012 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.