Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Spotted Towhee In Great Basin
Spotted Towhee in Great Basin has surged: up 308% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+308%Since 1970
179Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Spotted Towhee has surged in Great Basin: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Spotted Towhee in Great Basin is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 3.3–5.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
4.6Projected 2029 index
3.3–5.995% range
±23.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 5.7 |
| 2026 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 2027 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 2028 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 5.9 |
| 2029 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 5.9 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Lake Chelan | WASHINGTON | 59 | 2024 |
| Leavenworth | WASHINGTON | 58 | 2024 |
| Snowden | WASHINGTON | 54 | 2024 |
| Hawthorne | NEVADA | 44 | 2001 |
| Fish Creek | NEVADA | 35 | 2021 |
| Austin | NEVADA | 35 | 2018 |
| Kendall | WASHINGTON | 31 | 2024 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 30 | 2021 |
| Tionesta | CALIFORNIA | 24 | 2021 |
| Ardenvoir | WASHINGTON | 24 | 1987 |
| Twisp | WASHINGTON | 21 | 2024 |
| Gardnerville | NEVADA | 18 | 2012 |
| Mt Hood | OREGON | 18 | 2024 |
| Newhalem | WASHINGTON | 18 | 2024 |
| Mazama | WASHINGTON | 18 | 2022 |
| Willis | NEVADA | 17 | 2024 |
| Carson River | NEVADA | 16 | 2002 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2011 |
| Newcastle | UTAH | 15 | 2022 |
| L. Wenatchee | WASHINGTON | 15 | 2024 |
| Humboldt Nf | NEVADA | 14 | 2019 |
| Concrete | WASHINGTON | 14 | 2024 |
| Badger Creek | OREGON | 13 | 2024 |
| Nighthawk | WASHINGTON | 13 | 2024 |
| Nubieber | CALIFORNIA | 12 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.