BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Spotted Towhee In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Spotted Towhee in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

12×Since 1979
29Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Spotted Towhee has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Spotted Towhee in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.80 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.91 (95% range 0.25–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029
0.91Projected 2029 index
0.25–1.695% range
±53.3%Backtest error
19762029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.860.211.5
20260.870.221.5
20270.890.231.5
20280.900.241.6
20290.910.251.6

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Spotted Towhee in Shortgrass Prairie.
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA412024
CrawfordNEBRASKA122024
TrincheraCOLORADO92022
FarleyNEW-MEXICO62024
ElbertCOLORADO42024
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO22021
Pine BluffWYOMING21992
KiowaCOLORADO11996
Gordon CreekCOLORADO12024
VillegreenCOLORADO12024
Kiowa 2COLORADO12021
NinaviewCOLORADO12021
Fort MorganCOLORADO12021
JulesburgCOLORADO12016
ArsenalCOLORADO11991
RockportCOLORADO12014
WallaceKANSAS12010
PaxtonNEBRASKA12012
AgateNEBRASKA11999
BenkelmanNEBRASKA12015
Murray LakeNEBRASKA12018
BereaNEBRASKA11984
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO11996
Wagon MoundNEW-MEXICO11977
LoganNEW-MEXICO12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.