Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sora In Great Basin
Sora in Great Basin has surged: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+122%Since 1972
96Routes In Region
54Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Sora has surged in Great Basin: up 122% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Sora in Great Basin is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.04–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+43%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.4195% range
±34.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
| 2026 | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.41 |
| 2028 | 0.23 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
| 2029 | 0.23 | 0.04 | 0.41 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Fish Lake | OREGON | 10 | 2024 |
| Three Forks | OREGON | 5 | 2011 |
| Brewster | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2000 |
| Dorris | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2019 |
| Chinchalo | OREGON | 4 | 2023 |
| Princeton | OREGON | 3 | 1984 |
| Malheur Nwr | OREGON | 3 | 1998 |
| Nubieber | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Likely | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Ririe | IDAHO | 2 | 2000 |
| Bates | IDAHO | 2 | 2023 |
| Modoc Point | OREGON | 2 | 1974 |
| Bly | OREGON | 2 | 2001 |
| Promontory | UTAH | 2 | 2008 |
| Lynn | UTAH | 2 | 2010 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | UTAH | 2 | 2019 |
| Turnbull Nwr | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2023 |
| Ingalls | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1992 |
| Ravendale | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1983 |
| Honey Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1999 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Cedarville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Baker | IDAHO | 1 | 2023 |
| Leadore | IDAHO | 1 | 2023 |
| Squirrel | IDAHO | 1 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.