Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Snowy Egret In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
Snowy Egret in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-58%Since 1974
19Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Snowy Egret has fallen sharply in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Snowy Egret in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to fall about 63% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-63%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.695% range
±52.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 2.6 |
Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
| Red Rock | ARIZONA | 7 | 1999 |
| Araby | ARIZONA | 6 | 2022 |
| Cima | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 1977 |
| Palo Verde | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2003 |
| Palo Verde | ARIZONA | 3 | 2012 |
| Palo Verde 2 | ARIZONA | 3 | 2024 |
| Brawley | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2010 |
| Laguna | ARIZONA | 2 | 2019 |
| Ajo | ARIZONA | 2 | 2001 |
| Ajo 2 | ARIZONA | 2 | 2019 |
| Florence | ARIZONA | 1 | 1968 |
| Casa Grande | ARIZONA | 1 | 2018 |
| Cutter 2 | ARIZONA | 1 | 2016 |
| Red Rock 2 | ARIZONA | 1 | 2019 |
| Calif City | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1995 |
| Niland | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Alamo River | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Imperial Dam | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Ash Meadows | NEVADA | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.